[유효상 칼럼] 왜 트럼프는 미국 해방의 날을 선언했을까

ȿ ܰ濵

Ʈ '' ٽ 'ȣ(Reciprocal Tariff)' γ ǥϸ鼭 ΰ ߴ. ڸ Ʈ " ̱ 翡 "̶ ǹ̸ οϸ鼭, 4 2 '̱ ع (Liberation Day)' ߴ. ȭ ȭ ̱ ٷڿ ε "50 ̻ 븦 ϸ ɰ ޾Ҵ" Ʈ, å þ ݰ ڸ "̱ ϰ" "̱ ٽ ϰ "̶ ߴ. å 6 ޷( 8715 ) 7 ޷( 1 168 ) ̸ ׾߸ õ ߻ Ŷ ̴. ÷̼ Բ å ݴϴ 60% ϴ Ȳ ڽ ȭϱ ° ̻翩 ǥ Ʈ "̱ ȲݱⰡ ƿ ִ" ϸ鼭 "ϴ ູ ̱ (God bless America)"̶ ´.

̹ ƴ ̱ ȣ ΰϴ ǥν ȭǴ . ̱ Ұ 庮 ΰϴ 鿡 Ѵٴ ȣ ̱ ̿ ϴ ΰϰڴٴ ̸, ٷ ̴.

̹ ȣ 3 31 ̱ ǥ(USTR) ǥ 2025⵵ 庮 ˷. Ư å ̱ Ը ڸ ʷϰ Ⱥ Ѵٰ Ǵ Ʈ ¸ Ͽ, ɿ ο ѹ(IEEPA) ¹(NEA) ѹ ȰϿ, ذϱ ȣ ΰѴٴ ̴.

ֿ 캸, 2025 4 5Ϻ κ ǰ ϰ 10% ߰ ΰϰ, 4 9Ϻʹ Ư( 57) Ǹ, ش ̱ ǰ ΰϴ / 庮 Ͽ ߴٴ ̴. ̷ ѱ 25% ߰ ΰǰ Ǿ.

̱ USTR ѱ 30 ̻ Ұ , ΰ Թ , 뷮 䱸ϴ '汳' ̱ 谡 ѱ ' 庮'̶ ϴ ѸǾ ִ. ̱ (FTA) üᱹμ κ ѱ 50% åϰ, 25% ȣ ѱ ΰġ /޷ ȯ ϴ ߴٴ ǹ̷ ؼȴ. ̷ ̹ ü ѹ FTA Ϲ ı ̴.

, Ʈ 46%, ̾Ḷ 45%, ± 37%, ߱ 34%, 븸 32%, ε׽þ 32%, 31%, ư 31%, ε 26%, ̽þ 24%, Ϻ 24%, EU 20%, ̽ 17% ̴. ijٿ ߽ڴ ̹ 25% ߰ ǰ ־, ̹ ȣ Ե ʾҴ.

ȣ / 庮 ̻ ̱ ġ ٰ Ǵܵ ӵȴٰ ߴ. ׷ ̷ Ʈ å û ް ִ. ũŻ Կ⿡ IMF ݹ ̱ ȣ å " ȭ ñ⿡" " " ʷѴٰ ߴ. ijٿ ɼ ߴ. ũ ī ij Ѹ "츮 "̶ ϸ鼭, ij ġ ּȭϴ ġ ϰڴٰ ϸ, ̱ Ⱥ Ű ߴ.

츣ٶ ̿ EU " ̺ ִ" Ȯ ߴ. ̿ " ý Ϻ Ұϴٴ , Ȳ ȭų "̶ ߴ. EU ſ ̱ ö˷̴ ġ Ͽ ̱ ǥ ǰ(Ű, û, ) ΰ ʰ ־, ̹ ɼ ִ. ׷ ̱ EU С 庮 ϰ ֱ , EU ܼ Ѿ 񽺡 Ȯ ɼ ̰ ִ.

Ʈ å ̱ ߽ɿ ִ. Ҿ, ߼ұ δ , Һڹ ۿ ȭǰ , Ϻ Һ ü å öȸ 䱸ϰ ִ. ȣ ǥ ̱ ô ¾Ҵ. ׾߸ ' '̾. M7 7~9% , ߼ 2000 ְġ 20% ̻ . ׷ ұϰ, ȸ Ȱ̶ ġ Ͽ а å δ. , Ʈ ֿ ڵ鿡 ϰ ִٴ , ܱⰣ ƴ ̾ ɼ ſ . ̹ ġ Ͻ й ƴ϶, ̡ ׿ ޸ 帧 ӿ ȭ ð .

̷ Ȳ ū ڸ ϰ ִ ѱ ڵݵüöIT ̱ ǥ Ǵ ϰ Ǿ ־ ɰ Ÿ ϱ ƴ. ׷ 츮 庮 õ ϰ ͸ϰ, ȭ ȭϴ ߿ϴ. ǥ õ ö̾ ý ϰ, ȭ 翡 Ͽ FTA Ư ڷḦ ߴ ʼ̴. , ܹ üũϰ, FTA ؼ, ϴ ͵ ʿϴ. ȭǴ Ȳ ؼ ̵ ߴ ̾ Ƿ κб ȮϿ Ѵ.

̹ ܼ ̱ 忡 庮 Ѿ, 츮 ۷ι ü ġ ̴. , ̱ ϴ Ÿ ѱ ǰ ΰ , ȭ ִ. 츮 ؿܿ (Ʈ, ε ) 󱹿 ԵDZ , ̷ ̱ ޸ Ұϴ. ׸ '' Ǵ ŭ, ۷ι ޡꡤ ޸ ؾ Ѵ.

̹ 츮Ը ģ ƴϴ. ﱹ鵵 ó ִ. ̷ ȥ Ȳ 츮Դ ȸ ִ. ܱ Ѿ, ' (New Normal)' '۷ι ' .